Political Science 343

Prof. Robert Packer

Winter 2001

Office: Willis 413, x-4119

Class TTh 10:30AM-12:15PM, Willis 204

Office Hours

 

TURBULENCE IN WORLD POLITICS

Political Science 343 addresses the lingering questions left in the wake of the Cold War. More importantly, this course attempts to identify the problems and opportunities that will command our interest into the twenty-first century. I developed Political Science 343 to be an addendum to Political Science 170 (International Relations & World Politics). In the introductory course, students were exposed to the major approaches in studying global political phenomena. Furthermore, they became acquainted with some of the major issue areas in the field. In Turbulence in World Politics, we will delve deeper in analyzing major international issues. By reviewing major theoretical approaches by leading scholars in the field of world politics, we can better analyze and make sense of the changes and challenges that lie before the United States and world.

The key idea behind this course is that the post-Cold War world is divided between a zone of peace (characterized by liberal free market democracy) and a zone of turmoil (characterized by ethnonationalist, religious, and territorial conflict). Given that the key security concerns of the United States will emanate not from Western Europe, but from the former Communist states and the geopolitical periphery of the Third World, it is vitally important that we understand the security concerns of states in the throes of development.

In a world caught up in revolutionary change, where instability, turbulence, and violence are widespread, no one can predict the shape of events to come. The level of danger to Americans will vary, but our political and economic interests are global. The world's attitudes toward, and perceptions of, American leadership - and its role as a force for democracy and international stability - affect not just our political relations, but also our economic relationships and markets.

COURSE OBJECTIVES AND STRUCTURE

A principal focus of Turbulence in World Politics will be a review of the major theoretical debate in world politics between Realism and Liberalism, as well as an examination of the changed world order since the end of the Cold War. Of particular concern is the formulation of American national security policy in the "new world entropy." With American forces now deployed in Bosnia, we will explore the issue of military intervention in the volatile Second Tier (the former Communist states and Third World). Such intervention should be examined from the standpoint of protecting American interests and values. Much of the turmoil in the Second Tier stems from the legacy of weak state institutionalization, ethnic conflict, and the pains of socioeconomic transformation.

The role of cultural identity as a crucial variable in world politics will be taken up as well. With ethnic and religious conflict occurring around the world, Communitarianism is now vying with Realism and Liberalism as a political force. Will we see a "clash of civilizations" or are the nations of the Third World on the road to a universal Liberalism?

This course will be organized as a seminar. Students are responsible for completing the assigned readings before each class session. In-class seminar discussion is indispensable to the learning process and will make up 24% of the grade. Volunteers will lead discussion of readings each class session. All students should come to class with a list of major points brought out in the readings as a guide to discussion. In addition, I will set up an electronic discussion conference and strongly encourage students to participate in outside-class discussions of global political issues.

In addition to discussion, students are required to write an abstract of a data-based article on world politics (4% of grade). Abstracts are short, one-and-a-half to two page papers analyzing data-based journal articles. In the abstract, students are to list: 1) the query, or the question to be tested and explained; 2) the explanatory and outcome variables and the putative relationship between the two; 3) the indicators used in measuring the variables and the strength of relationship between them; 4) data sources that the author used; 5) any data manipulation used (e.g., regression, analysis of variance); and 6) the findings.

I am assigning three eight-to-nine page examinations on the major theoretical themes of the course. These exams will make up 14% apiece (42% total). The purpose is to give students an opportunity to critically evaluate arguments made on the emerging world order. Finally, there is a 20-to-25-page term paper (30% of grade) on a major international or American national security topic (e.g., the "rogue state threat" or American intervention policy). The paper topic must be approved by the instructor.

All late exam essays are subject to a one-third-grade deduction penalty per day (e.g., a "B+" paper shall receive a "B" if one day late, a "B-" if two days late, and so on).

I will put some flexibility into the course outline in order to take advantage of any "in time" developments that may occur. I strongly encourage students to read the major world politics/international securities affairs journals in staying current on world events. These journals include International Security, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, World Politics, Current History, and Orbis. You should also become a regular reader of a newsweekly, such as The Economist.

BOOKS

Arthur Stein, Why Nations Cooperate: Circumstance and Choice in International Relations (1990)

Richard Haass, Intervention: The Use of American Military Force in the Post-Cold War World (1994)

Robert Litwak, Rogue States and U.S. Foreign Policy: Containment After the Cold War (2000)

COURSE OUTLINE

I. After the Dawn: The Changed World Order

January 4
Jervis, "The Future of World Politics," in Art & Jervis, ed., International Politics: Enduring Concepts and Contemporary Issues (1996): 401-414.

Beedham, "The New Geopolitics," The Economist Survey (July 31, 1999).

Kugler, "Global Political Trends: Integration or Disintegration?" in Strategic Assessment 1999 (1999): 1-17.

January 9

Gaddis, "International Relations Theory and the End of the Cold War," International Security 17 (Winter 1992/93): 5-58.

Lebow, "The Long Peace, the End of the Cold War, and the Failure of Realism," in Lebow and Risse-Kappen, ed., International Relations Theory and the End of the Cold War (1995): 23-56.

January 11

Schweller & Wohlforth, "Power Test: Evaluating Realism in Response to the end of the Cold War," in Security Studies 9 (Spring 2000).

Deudney & Ikenberry, "Realism, Structural Liberalism, and the Western Order," in Kapstein & Mastanduno, ed., Unipolar Politics: Realism and State Strategies After the Cold War (1999): 103-137.

Exam I - Explaining the End of the Cold War (due by January 22)

II. Realism and the neo-Liberal Challenge

January 16
Baldwin, "Neoliberalism, Neorealism, and World Politics," in Neorealism and Neoliberalism: The Contemporary Debate (1993): 3-25.

Jervis, "Realism, Neoliberaism, and Cooperation," International Security (Summer, 1999): 42-63.

Mearsheimer, "The False Promise of International Institutions," in Brown, Lynn- Jones, and Miller, ed. Perils of Anarchy: Contemporary Realism and International Security (1995): 332-376.

January 18

Grieco, "Anarchy and the Limits of Cooperation," in Art & Jervis, ed., International Politics: Enduring Concepts and Contemporary Issues (1996): 76-80.

Brooks, "Dueling Realisms" International Organization (Summer 1997): 445-477.

Legro & Moravcsik, "Is Anybody Still a Realist?" International Security (Fall 1999): 5-55.

January 23

Stein, Why Nations Cooperate (1990): 25-86, 115-150.

Kirschner, "The Political Economy of Realism," in Kapstein & Mastanduno, ed., Unipolar Politics: Realism and State Strategies After the Cold War (1999): 69-102.

January 25

Copeland, "Economic Interdependence and War," International Security (Spring 1996): 5-41.

Owen, "How Liberalism Produces Democratic Peace" in Brown, Lynn-Jones, and Miller, ed., Debating the Democratic Peace (1996): 116-154.

Elman, "Testing the Democratic Peace Theory," in Elman, ed., Paths to Peace: Is Democracy the Answer? (1997): 473-506.

Exam II - Realism v. Liberalism as relevant paradigms in the post-Cold War world (due by February 5)

III. Zones of Uncertainty: Russia, China, and the Third World

January 30

Wohlforth, "The Stability of a Unipolar World," International Security (Summer 1999): 5-41.

Mastanduno, "Preserving the Unipolar Moment: Realist Theories and U.S. Grand Strategy after the Cold War." International Security (Spring 1997): 49-88.

February 1

Porter, "Russia and Europe After the Cold War: The Interaction of Domestic and Foreign Policies," in Wallender, ed. The Sources of Russian Foreign Policy After the Cold War (1996): 121-145.

MacFarlane, "Realism and Russian Strategy after the Collapse of the USSR," in Kapstein & Mastanduno, ed., Unipolar Politics: Realism and State Strategies After the Cold War (1999): 218-260.

Shambaugh, "Containment or Engagement of China?" International Security (Fall 1996): 180-209.

Johnston, "Realism(s) and Chinese Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Period," in Kapstein & Mastanduno, ed., Unipolar Politics: Realism and State Strategies After the Cold War (1999): 261-318.

February 6

Ayoob, The Third World Security Predicament (1995): 115-137.

David, "Why the Third World Still Matters," International Security (Winter 1992/93): 127-159.

Huntington, "The Clash of Civilizations?" in Foreign Affairs Agenda, The Shape of World Politics: Contending Paradigms in International Relations (1997): 67-91.

Tarock, "Civilizational Conflict? Fighting the Enemy Under a New Banner," Third World Quarterly (Spring 1995): 4-18.

O'Hagan, "Civilizational Conflict? Looking For Cultural Enemies," Third World Quarterly (Spring 1995): 19-38.

Exam III - Dealing with Russia & China/ Does the Third World Matter? (Due by February 19)

IV. Rogue States - "the search for new enemies"?

February 8
Litwak, Rogue States and US Foreign Policy (2000): 1-46.

Tanter, Rogue Regimes: Terrorism and Proliferation (1998): 1-43.

February 13

Litwak, Rogue States and US Foreign Policy (2000): 47-119.

George & Simons, ed., The Limits of Coercive Diplomacy, 2nd ed. (1994): 7-21; 229-264.

February 15

Litwak, Rogue States and US Foreign Policy (2000): 123-197.

February 20

Litwak, Rogue States and US Foreign Policy (2000): 198-255.

Ayoob, The Third World Security Predicament (1995): 165-188.

Brown, "The Causes of Internal Conflict," in Brown, Coté, Lynn-Jones, and Miller, ed., Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict (1997): 3-25.

February 22

Byman & Van Evera, "Why They Fight: Hypotheses on the Causes of Contemporary Deadly Conflict" Security Studies 7 (Spring 1998): 1-50.

V. Redefining American Security Interests

Posen & Ross, "Competing Visions for U.S. Grand Strategy," International Security (Winter 1996/97): 5-53.

Haass, Intervention (1994): 1-48.

February 27

Haass, Intervention (1994): 49-122.

March 1

Haass, Intervention (1994): 123-156.

Brown & deJonge Oudraat, "Internal Conflict and International Action," in Brown, Coté, Lynn-Jones, and Miller, ed., Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict (1997): 235-264.

Dziedzic, "Troubled States: How Troubling, How Manageable?" in Strategic Assessment 1999 (1999): 229-244.

March 6

Sagan, "The Causes of Nuclear Proliferation," Current History (April 1997): 151- 156.

Karl, "Proliferation Pessimism and Emerging Nuclear Powers," International Security (Winter 1996/97): 87-119.

March 8

Snow, National Security (1998): 318-336.

National Defense University, Strategic Assessment 1997: 231-242.